张景1，石琳1，张换香2，陶占龙1，冯瑞琴1
（1.内蒙古科技大学 数理与生物工程学院，内蒙古 包头 014010；2.内蒙古科技大学 工程训练中心，内蒙古 包头 014010）
关键词：三次产业产值；国民经济；回归分析。
中图分类号：F127；O213.9 文献标识码：A
摘 要：在国民经济的研究中，三次产业的产值反映了GDP的大小，预测三次产业的产值对GDP的预测起着至关重要的作用。本文基于1981年到2012年的统计数据，建立了指数回归模型。研究表明：通过指数回归模型，预测第一、第三产业产值的相对误差小于0.07，该模型对三次产业产值的预测具有很高的使用价值。
The research of output value in three industries based on regression analysis
ZHANG jing，SHI lin，ZHANG huanxiang，TAO zhanlong，FENG ruiqin
（1. Mathematics，Physics and Biological Engineering School ,Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou 014010,China; 2. Engineering Training Center, Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou 014010,China）
Key word：output value of three industries; national economy; regression analysis.
Abstract：In research of the national economy, GDP can be reflected by the output value of three industries, so it is important to predict GDP via the prediction of the output value of three industries. The data herein come from National Statistics from 1981 to 2012, on the basis of which the exponent regression model was established. The study results demonstrate that the relative error of prediction in the output value of primaryand tertiary industries is less than 0.07,indicating that the model is very useful to predict the output value in three industries.